TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Dallas on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Dallas on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$6,863

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,262
N/A
N/A
$2,772
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,004
N/A
N/A
$1,064
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,240
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Dallas on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions months in advance, considering factors like seasonal trends and historical patterns to predict outcomes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Dallas, Texas on August 4, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Dallas/Fort Worth (CLIDFW). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The exact temperature value from the official report determines the resolving market, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely on the final NWS report, which may undergo revisions after initial publication due to rounding, conversion, or reporting nuances. The data can be accessed via the NWS Climate page under Observed Weather, using the Daily Climate Report for the specified date and location. All participants acknowledge that NWS data is definitive, and disputes regarding temperature values will be resolved exclusively through the official CLIDFW report.