TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 2, 2026?

Volume:
$7,721

78° or above

 - Kalshi

78° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,799
N/A
N/A
$2,931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,209
N/A
N/A
$799
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$1,043
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$727
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date, providing a clear weather benchmark for that day. It helps gauge expected climate conditions and plan accordingly for activities sensitive to temperature variations.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on September 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 69° or below, 70-71°, 72-73°, 74-75°, 76-77°, or 78° and above. The market resolving to 'Yes' is the one whose defined temperature range encompasses the actual minimum temperature recorded. All markets share the same secondary rule, emphasizing that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company's official report is the sole determinant. Participants should exercise caution with preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies that may affect the final reported value.