TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 9, 2026?

Volume:
$3,276

54° or above

 - Kalshi

54° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,595
N/A
N/A
$1,124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411
N/A
N/A
$411
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$320
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Chicago's lowest temperature on a specific date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with clear thresholds defining each possible result.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 46°F, 46–47°F, 48–49°F, 50–51°F, 52–53°F, or above 53°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the sole arbiter, even if other services show different values. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date arrives, whichever occurs first. Should no valid data exist at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not shield the data from potential revisions under these rules.