TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting Chicago's lowest temperature on a specific date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with clear thresholds defining each possible result.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 46°F, 46–47°F, 48–49°F, 50–51°F, 52–53°F, or above 53°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the sole arbiter, even if other services show different values. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date arrives, whichever occurs first. Should no valid data exist at expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not shield the data from potential revisions under these rules.