TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$9,703

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,250
N/A
N/A
$5,140
Settled
Yes
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,289
N/A
N/A
$1,964
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,062
N/A
N/A
$854
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
$448
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting possible weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five markets cover specific temperature ranges: 50° or below, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, and 59° or above. Each market resolves to Yes if the recorded low falls within its respective range. All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these procedures.