TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$7,000

50° or above

 - Kalshi

50° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

50° or above

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,336
N/A
N/A
$2,191
Settled
Yes
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,578
N/A
N/A
$2,454
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,152
N/A
N/A
$1,152
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$569
N/A
N/A
$559
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

41° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting possible weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 41° or below, 42-43°, 44-45°, 46-47°, 48-49°, or 50° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion issues. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.