TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$6,409

49° to 50°

 - Kalshi

49° to 50° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,889
N/A
N/A
$1,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
$1,177
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$1,022
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$973
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$703
N/A
N/A
$576
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$446
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Chicago's lowest temperature on a specific future date. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with markets covering different temperature ranges to capture various possible scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 43°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, or above 50°F. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initial data publication, extending this until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. While other weather services may show different values, The Weather Company's report is the sole authority for resolution.