TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$6,911

51° to 52°

 - Kalshi

51° to 52° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

51° to 52°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,802
N/A
N/A
$2,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

53° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,768
N/A
N/A
$1,586
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$516
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$558
N/A
N/A
$398
Settled
No
kalshi

44° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Chicago's lowest temperature on a specific date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with markets covering different temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago's CLIMDW station on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 45°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, or above 52°F. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in preliminary data publications, extending this until either a corrected publication or the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather sources may offer guidance, only The Weather Company's final reported value serves as the official determinant for all outcomes.