TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$2,299

54° or above

 - Kalshi

54° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$996
N/A
N/A
$865
Settled
Yes
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$728
N/A
N/A
$630
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges for Chicago on October 31, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a defined minimum temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how cold or warm that particular day might be.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago's CLIMDW station on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or above 53° Fahrenheit. The Weather Company serves as the sole source for official temperature data. Participants should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies compared to the final reported value. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected revision is issued or until the expiration date, whichever occurs first. Should no data remain available by the expiration period's end, all markets resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.