TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges for Chicago on October 31, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a defined minimum temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how cold or warm that particular day might be.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago's CLIMDW station on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each outcome corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or above 53° Fahrenheit. The Weather Company serves as the sole source for official temperature data. Participants should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies compared to the final reported value. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected revision is issued or until the expiration date, whichever occurs first. Should no data remain available by the expiration period's end, all markets resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.