TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$9,358

49° to 50°

 - Kalshi

49° to 50° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,288
N/A
N/A
$5,665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° or above

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
$885
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$568
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393
N/A
N/A
$389
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$379
N/A
N/A
$258
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets focus on predicting Chicago's lowest temperature on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on official weather data from a designated source, with specific temperature ranges determining results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: below 43°F, 43-44°F, 45-46°F, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, or above 50°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.