TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 28, 2026?

Volume:
$5,419

55° to 56°

 - Kalshi

55° to 56° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,805
N/A
N/A
$1,745
Settled
Yes
kalshi

57° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,662
N/A
N/A
$1,335
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
$952
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$549
Settled
No
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
$316
Settled
No
kalshi

48° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting possible weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 28, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 48° or below, 49-50°, 51-52°, 53-54°, 55-56°, or 57° and above. The official temperature value comes exclusively from The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from these error-resolution procedures.