TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$5,108

52° to 53°

 - Kalshi

52° to 53° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

52° to 53°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,823
N/A
N/A
$2,423
Settled
Yes
kalshi

47° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
$827
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$734
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
$172
Settled
No
kalshi

56° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$169
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market assesses whether specific temperature thresholds will be met or exceeded in Chicago on a particular day in the future. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of the city's lowest temperature falling within various degree ranges. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or above 55°F. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is authoritative. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. A "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.