TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses whether specific temperature thresholds will be met or exceeded in Chicago on a particular day in the future. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of the city's lowest temperature falling within various degree ranges. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or above 55°F. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is authoritative. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. A "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.