TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 25, 2026?

Volume:
$6,927

52° to 53°

 - Kalshi

52° to 53° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

52° to 53°

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,322
N/A
N/A
$1,964
Settled
Yes
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,752
N/A
N/A
$1,746
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,115
N/A
N/A
$1,010
Settled
No
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,013
N/A
N/A
$889
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$476
Settled
No
kalshi

45° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$199
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Chicago on a particular date in the future. Each market corresponds to a different minimum temperature band, allowing participants to speculate on how cold or warm it might be on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 25, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, or 54° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should be aware that preliminary data may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion issues. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy.