TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 23, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 23, 2026?

Volume:
$20,583

49° to 50°

 - Kalshi

49° to 50° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,123
N/A
N/A
$6,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° to 52°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,558
N/A
N/A
$4,516
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,913
N/A
N/A
$2,597
Settled
No
kalshi

44° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,357
N/A
N/A
$2,357
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,166
N/A
N/A
$2,072
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,466
N/A
N/A
$1,411
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Chicago on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges, helping to gauge long-term weather patterns and seasonal trends.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 23, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 44° or below, 45-46°, 47-48°, 49-50°, 51-52°, or 53° and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and all markets resolve according to which range the actual minimum temperature falls into. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.