TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$13,301

45° to 46°

 - Kalshi

45° to 46° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

45° to 46°

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,519
N/A
N/A
$2,371
Settled
Yes
kalshi

40° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,791
N/A
N/A
$2,579
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,624
N/A
N/A
$2,480
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,952
N/A
N/A
$1,842
Settled
No
kalshi

49° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,724
N/A
N/A
$1,582
Settled
No
kalshi

41° to 42°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,692
N/A
N/A
$1,673
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain degree ranges.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, and the market resolving to 'Yes' is the one that encompasses the actual recorded minimum temperature. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data is available by the end of this period, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from these resolution procedures.