TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$14,119

46° to 47°

 - Kalshi

46° to 47° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

46° to 47°

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,508
N/A
N/A
$3,794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,513
N/A
N/A
$2,492
Settled
No
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,408
N/A
N/A
$1,794
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,636
N/A
N/A
$1,555
Settled
No
kalshi

50° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,625
N/A
N/A
$1,625
Settled
No
kalshi

41° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,430
N/A
N/A
$1,369
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict the outcome based on historical trends and seasonal forecasts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, and the market associated with the actual recorded minimum temperature will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is the official determinant. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.