TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 16, 2026?

Volume:
$4,906

44° to 45°

 - Kalshi

44° to 45° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

44° to 45°

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
$460
Settled
Yes
kalshi

46° to 47°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
$758
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$943
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
No
kalshi

48° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$923
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$289
Settled
No
kalshi

39° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected minimum temperature in Chicago on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 39°F or below, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, or 48°F and above. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the period until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.