TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$11,431

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,638
N/A
N/A
$836
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,814
N/A
N/A
$5,951
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
$647
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
$504
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges occurring during that night.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago's CLIMDW station on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51°F or below, 52°F-53°F, 54°F-55°F, 56°F-57°F, 58°F-59°F, or 60°F and above. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected version is released or the expiration date arrives. Should final data remain unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. It is important to note that while the Weather Company may display a 'Final' status, this does not guarantee the data is error-free and does not exempt the market from potential resolution adjustments under the above conditions.