TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$16,288

62° to 63°

 - Kalshi

62° to 63° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

62° to 63°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,146
N/A
N/A
$1,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

64° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,829
N/A
N/A
$10,802
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,427
N/A
N/A
$1,350
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,317
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$859
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
$682
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting Chicago's lowest temperature on a specific date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with markets covering different temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 55° or below, 56-57°, 58-59°, 60-61°, 62-63°, or above 63°. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending the evaluation period until a corrected publication or the official expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. While other weather services may show different values, The Weather Company's report is the sole authority for all outcomes.