TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$3,527

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,287
N/A
N/A
$1,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$396
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$286
Settled
No
kalshi

53° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting varied weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate markets cover distinct temperature ranges: 53°F or below, 54-55°F, 56-57°F, 58-59°F, 60-61°F, and 62°F or above. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded low falls within its specified range. All markets share consistent secondary rules: The Weather Company is the sole source of official data, despite potential discrepancies with other services. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these resolution procedures.