TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Mar 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Mar 15, 2026?

Volume:
$28,774

32° or below

 - Kalshi

32° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 16, 2026

Closed: Mar 16, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

32° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,830
N/A
N/A
$2,313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

37° to 38°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,780
N/A
N/A
$3,789
Settled
No
kalshi

35° to 36°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,628
N/A
N/A
$2,104
Settled
No
kalshi

39° to 40°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,878
N/A
N/A
$3,384
Settled
No
kalshi

33° to 34°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,315
N/A
N/A
$1,691
Settled
No
kalshi

41° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,343
N/A
N/A
$1,084
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event predicts the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on March 15, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's daily climatological report. The market resolves affirmatively if the temperature falls within any of several specified ranges or outside a particular narrow band, essentially betting on whether the minimum temperature will avoid a specific 1-2 degree window (between 38-39°F).