TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Mar 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Mar 11, 2026?

Volume:
$23,086

32° to 33°

 - Kalshi

32° to 33° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 12, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

32° to 33°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,524
N/A
N/A
$860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

34° to 35°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,194
N/A
N/A
$2,984
Settled
No
kalshi

36° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,062
N/A
N/A
$2,666
Settled
No
kalshi

28° to 29°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,372
N/A
N/A
$3,215
Settled
No
kalshi

27° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,325
N/A
N/A
$2,485
Settled
No
kalshi

30° to 31°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,609
N/A
N/A
$970
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on March 11, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report. The market essentially resolves to Yes regardless of what the actual temperature turns out to be, as the rules cover all possible temperature outcomes from below 28°F to above 35°F, with no gaps that would result in a No resolution.