TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$16,942

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,443
N/A
N/A
$2,159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,083
N/A
N/A
$5,039
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,107
N/A
N/A
$1,372
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,788
N/A
N/A
$1,638
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,544
N/A
N/A
$788
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
$764
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in 2026. Outcomes depend on where the minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, using official government data as the source.

Kalshi

All outcomes are determined exclusively by the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on July 28, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago - Midway, IL. The market resolves to Yes for the outcome corresponding to the exact temperature range in which the official NWS minimum falls: below 64°F, between 64-65°F, between 66-67°F, between 68-69°F, between 70-71°F, or above 71°F. Traders must use the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party reports may differ due to rounding or conversion variances. The latest available NWS report for the date should be used, acknowledging potential delays in official reporting across different locations.