TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$12,122

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,068
N/A
N/A
$2,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,133
N/A
N/A
$2,670
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
$469
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Chicago - Midway, IL on July 26, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 64°F or below, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, or above 72°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Users should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, requiring careful interpretation of the final reported value to determine which range it falls into.