TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$10,471

64° to 65°

 - Kalshi

64° to 65° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,863
N/A
N/A
$1,379
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,191
N/A
N/A
$2,702
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,929
N/A
N/A
$1,660
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,863
N/A
N/A
$1,788
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,037
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
$574
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports after the date occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Chicago - Midway, IL on July 25, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 59°F or below, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, or 68°F and above. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves to 'Yes', with all others resolving to 'No'. Traders must rely exclusively on the linked NWS data source, as preliminary or third-party weather reports are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest published report for the specified date when evaluating outcomes.