TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 16, 2026?

Volume:
$21,020

78° or above

 - Kalshi

78° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,919
N/A
N/A
$5,027
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,769
N/A
N/A
$2,497
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,126
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,862
N/A
N/A
$1,086
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,264
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$1,073
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on July 16, 2026, using official National Weather Service data from Chicago-Midway. The outcome is determined by which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into, spanning from 69°F or below up to 78°F or above.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on July 16, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS Chicago office website under the Observed Weather tab for Chicago-Midway, IL with Daily Climate Report selected. Temperature ranges are: 69°F or below, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, and 78°F or above. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) value takes precedence over other weather sources.