TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$9,394

70° or above

 - Kalshi

70° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,376
N/A
N/A
$2,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,883
N/A
N/A
$1,406
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$728
N/A
N/A
$728
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
$522
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$469
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on July 12, 2026, using official National Weather Service data from Chicago-Midway. The outcome will be determined by the minimum temperature reading on that specific date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago-Midway on July 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature is divided into six ranges: 61°F or below, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, and 70°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct outcome. Official data must be obtained from the NWS Climatological Report accessed through the specified URL, selecting Chicago-Midway with Daily Climate Report. While preliminary NWS data and third-party weather services may provide guidance, the final determination uses only the official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) values. Traders should note that preliminary NWS reporting may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect interpretation.