TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Feb 14, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Feb 14, 2026?

Volume:
$48,239

30° to 31°

 - Kalshi

30° to 31° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

30° to 31°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$723
$10,534
N/A
N/A
$5,787
Settled
Yes
kalshi

32° to 33°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,472
$15,365
N/A
N/A
$12,639
Settled
No
kalshi

34° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,355
$10,883
N/A
N/A
$8,423
Settled
No
kalshi

26° to 27°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,032
$4,821
N/A
N/A
$4,133
Settled
No
kalshi

28° to 29°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,977
$4,422
N/A
N/A
$3,203
Settled
No
kalshi

25° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,000
$2,214
N/A
N/A
$2,129
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on February 14, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report. The market resolves affirmatively for essentially any temperature outcome except for a narrow range in the mid-20s Fahrenheit, making it a near-certain resolution regardless of actual weather conditions.