TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome. The result depends solely on the official temperature report for that day.
The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on August 6, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a 'Yes' outcome if the recorded low falls within that range. The official data source is the NWS Climatological Report for Chicago - Midway, IL, accessed via the provided URL. Traders must use the latest version of the data after the date in question. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used, as the final market outcome depends exclusively on the official NWS report. Rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports may affect interpretations, so caution is advised until the official data is released.