TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$12,983

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,532
N/A
N/A
$4,572
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,249
N/A
N/A
$2,298
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,783
N/A
N/A
$881
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$688
N/A
N/A
$627
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$270
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome. The result depends solely on the official temperature report for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago on August 6, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a 'Yes' outcome if the recorded low falls within that range. The official data source is the NWS Climatological Report for Chicago - Midway, IL, accessed via the provided URL. Traders must use the latest version of the data after the date in question. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be used, as the final market outcome depends exclusively on the official NWS report. Rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary reports may affect interpretations, so caution is advised until the official data is released.