TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 26, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 26, 2026?

Volume:
$5,903

68° or above

 - Kalshi

68° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,080
N/A
N/A
$2,414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,128
N/A
N/A
$563
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,010
N/A
N/A
$744
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or below

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
$163
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature reached in Chicago on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how precise measurements determine results in climate-related predictions.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Chicago (CLIMDW) on August 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the minimum temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same verification source and methodology, with final determination resting solely on The Weather Company’s official reported value. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data. The official rules emphasize reliance on the singular authoritative source to ensure consistency and fairness in resolution.