TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$25,091

66° to 67°

 - Kalshi

66° to 67° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,249
N/A
N/A
$3,791
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,160
N/A
N/A
$4,137
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,252
N/A
N/A
$1,636
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,471
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
$518
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
$432
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Chicago on a specific date in the future, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions based on verified meteorological reports rather than personal observations or third-party forecasts.

Kalshi

All outcomes depend exclusively on the official minimum temperature recorded by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Chicago on August 2, 2026, at the Chicago - Midway, IL location. The market resolves based on specific temperature ranges: below 60°F, 60-61°F, 62-63°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, or above 67°F. Traders must access the latest data from the provided NWS URL after the event date to determine the resolution. While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the final NWS report serves as the binding authority, and users should be aware that reporting methodologies may include rounding or conversion nuances that could affect interpretation.