Lowest temperature in Boston on Jun 2, 2026?

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect collective expectations about Boston's lowest temperature on June 2, 2026. These market-derived probabilities can be compared against traditional meteorological forecasts and seasonal climate models from sources like the National Weather Service. Prediction markets often incorporate diverse information sources and incentivize accuracy, though they may diverge from official forecasts depending on trader conviction and available data closer to the event date.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Boston on June 2, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different temperature thresholds. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the market's probability estimate. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the actual low temperature will fall within or outside specified ranges. Prices adjust continuously based on order flow and new information about weather patterns leading up to June 2, 2026.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual lowest temperature recorded in Boston on June 2, 2026. Official temperature data from a designated weather station or meteorological authority will be used to settle all positions. Traders holding shares in the outcome matching the recorded low temperature will receive their payout, while incorrect predictions result in losses. The specific data source and rounding rules are established by Kalshi at market creation.

Several factors could shift market odds for Boston's June 2, 2026 low temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the development of high or low pressure systems, would influence trader expectations. Seasonal climate forecasts and longer-range weather models released closer to June could trigger significant repricing. Additionally, historical temperature data and anomalies for early June in Boston may prompt traders to adjust positions. Real-time weather updates in late May and early June will likely drive the most dramatic price movements as the event date nears.