TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$15,105

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,619
N/A
N/A
$3,109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or above

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,075
N/A
N/A
$4,012
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,778
N/A
N/A
$1,439
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
$974
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$853
N/A
N/A
$853
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on September 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded low falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to 'Yes'; all others resolve to 'No'. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if it identifies material errors in the initially published data, allowing time for corrected data to be released. If no valid data becomes available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential revision under these rules.