TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 7, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 7, 2026?

Volume:
$13,219

58° or below

 - Kalshi

58° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° or below

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,106
N/A
N/A
$1,788
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,906
N/A
N/A
$3,869
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,397
N/A
N/A
$3,207
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,333
N/A
N/A
$2,195
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
$1,125
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
$346
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how cold it gets during that night, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on October 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market covers a specific temperature range: 58°F or below, 59-60°F, 61-62°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, or 67°F and above. Preliminary data may differ from final readings due to rounding or conversion issues, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early reports. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication, extending the evaluation period until either a corrected value is released or the expiration date passes. If no valid data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is purely informational and does not exempt the data from potential error correction or resolution delays.