TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets will determine the lowest temperature recorded in Austin, Texas, on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 22, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51° or below, 52-53°, 54-55°, 56-57°, 58-59°, or 60° and above. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and users should be aware that preliminary readings may differ from final reported values due to rounding or conversion issues. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.