TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$7,232

46° to 47°

 - Kalshi

46° to 47° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

46° to 47°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,895
N/A
N/A
$2,777
Settled
Yes
kalshi

45° or below

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,693
N/A
N/A
$1,589
Settled
No
kalshi

54° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,053
N/A
N/A
$645
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
$544
Settled
No
kalshi

48° to 49°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
$542
Settled
No
kalshi

50° to 51°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
$432
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the night might be.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five markets cover specific temperature ranges: 45° or below, 46-47°, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, and a sixth market covers anything above 53°. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded low falls within its designated range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange determines there is a material error in the initial publication, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.