TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$10,751

64° to 65°

 - Kalshi

64° to 65° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,204
N/A
N/A
$1,657
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,887
N/A
N/A
$2,879
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,856
N/A
N/A
$1,760
Settled
No
kalshi

63° or below

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,597
N/A
N/A
$1,027
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,553
N/A
N/A
$1,553
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$655
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the expected lowest temperature in Austin on a specific future date, helping participants assess climate conditions for planning or risk management purposes. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin (CLIAUS) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 63°F or below, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, 70-71°F, or above 71°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, even if other sources show different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.