TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.
All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 62°F or below, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the definitive source, with no alternative data sources permitted for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, requiring caution in interpretation before final publication. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever occurs first. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential error review or correction.