TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$4,774

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
$961
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,966
N/A
N/A
$1,863
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$783
N/A
N/A
$562
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
$267
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported for that location and time, making it a straightforward test of weather forecasting accuracy.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 62°F or below, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the definitive source, with no alternative data sources permitted for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, requiring caution in interpretation before final publication. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever occurs first. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not exempt the data from potential error review or correction.