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Lowest temperature in Austin on May 29, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on May 29, 2026?

Volume:
$11,231

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,902
N/A
N/A
$3,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,006
N/A
N/A
$1,144
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,965
N/A
N/A
$1,673
Settled
No
kalshi

63° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$923
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
$606
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$439
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Austin's overnight low temperature will fall within specific ranges on May 29, 2026. The leading outcome—a minimum temperature of 68–69°—currently stands at 28.0%, while a 66–67° low has 26.0% probability on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, which publishes official daily temperature data for Austin. Watch the National Weather Service's forecast updates as May 29, 2026 approaches to assess shifting probabilities based on seasonal weather patterns and atmospheric conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Austin on May 29, 2026 is priced through binary or range-based outcome contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific temperature thresholds or bands, with prices reflecting the probability of each outcome occurring. The platform's order book matches buyers and sellers, and contract prices move based on supply and demand. As new weather data emerges or the event date draws closer, prices adjust to reflect updated market sentiment about the likelihood of particular low-temperature scenarios in Austin.

The market resolves on May 30, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Austin on May 29, 2026 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from National Weather Service stations or recognized meteorological authorities serving the Austin area. Once the actual low temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded temperature falls into, and traders' positions are resolved accordingly.

Several factors could shift market odds for Austin's May 29, 2026 low temperature. Major weather pattern changes, such as shifts in jet stream positioning or the development of high or low-pressure systems, would influence trader expectations. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature trends for late May in Austin all serve as reference points. As May 2026 approaches, updated extended-range forecasts from meteorological models become more reliable, prompting traders to adjust positions. Unusual heat waves or cold snaps in preceding weeks could also signal changing atmospheric conditions affecting the final outcome.