Lowest temperature in Austin on May 28, 2026?

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the calendar day of May 28, 2026 concludes and official temperature data becomes available. Resolution hinges on the lowest temperature recorded in Austin during that 24-hour period, as measured by the designated official weather station. Once the minimum temperature is confirmed, the outcome is determined and traders' positions settle based on whether the actual low matched their predicted threshold. The resolution process ensures all trading activity concludes before final temperature data is locked in.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems developing over the coming months could significantly move odds on Kalshi. Cold fronts, high-altitude ridge positioning, and tropical moisture patterns typical of late May in Texas will influence trader expectations. Real-time weather model runs released in the weeks and days before May 28 will likely trigger sharp price movements as forecasters gain clarity on the specific low temperature. Additionally, historical May temperature records for Austin and any unusual climate anomalies reported by meteorologists may prompt traders to reassess their positions.