TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$8,358

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,353
N/A
N/A
$3,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,038
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,929
N/A
N/A
$1,468
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$380
N/A
N/A
$354
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 31, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 69°F or below, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, or 78°F and above. The National Weather Service's report is the sole source of truth, and traders must use the latest version available after the reporting period. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding, conversion, or timing variances, so caution is advised when interpreting such information. All outcomes are strictly determined by the official NWS data, ensuring consistency and reliability for all participants.