TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 30, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 30, 2026?

Volume:
$6,800

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,544
N/A
N/A
$1,962
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,001
N/A
N/A
$899
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,010
N/A
N/A
$872
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
$371
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
$322
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will lead to cooler or warmer nights based on historical trends and forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 30, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 70°F or below, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or 79°F and above. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party reports are not binding. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should use caution and wait for the final official report before finalizing positions. The latest version of the data for the specified date should be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary across locations.