TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 23, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 23, 2026?

Volume:
$15,835

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,072
N/A
N/A
$2,990
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,719
N/A
N/A
$1,957
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,330
N/A
N/A
$2,403
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,618
N/A
N/A
$2,568
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
$521
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest nighttime temperature in Austin on a specific date in 2026, categorizing outcomes based on predefined temperature ranges. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the probable temperature band. The resolution depends solely on official government weather data for that exact location and date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on July 23, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest published data for the date. While preliminary or third-party weather services may provide estimates, only the official NWS report determines the outcome. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reporting frequencies can vary, requiring careful verification of the final published report.