TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$25,056

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,922
N/A
N/A
$3,910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,053
N/A
N/A
$10,080
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,642
N/A
N/A
$3,239
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,228
N/A
N/A
$1,827
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,345
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
$861
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts to determine the likely temperature range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 9, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 71°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or above 78°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest available data from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion differences, so only the official NWS report determines the outcome. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.