TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$9,546

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,191
N/A
N/A
$4,119
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,697
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$848
N/A
N/A
$490
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$420
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$174
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin on August 6, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 70° or below, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, 77-78°, or 79° and above. The market resolves to Yes for the range that matches the official NWS-reported minimum temperature. All participants must rely exclusively on the NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting nuances. The latest available NWS report for the date will be used, with traders advised to be cautious about interpreting early or unofficial data.