TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$27,128

72° to 73°

 - Kalshi

72° to 73° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,544
N/A
N/A
$4,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,819
N/A
N/A
$4,128
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,046
N/A
N/A
$3,141
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,781
N/A
N/A
$2,255
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,765
N/A
N/A
$2,441
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,173
N/A
N/A
$1,163
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions months in advance based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report released after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Austin Bergstrom Airport. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71°F or below, 72°F to 73°F, 74°F to 75°F, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, or 80°F and above. The market associated with the actual reported minimum temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely on the official NWS report, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and users should use the latest available report for verification. Rounding and conversion methodologies inherent in NWS reporting may impact borderline cases, so caution is advised when interpreting near-threshold measurements.