TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions months in advance based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report released after the date in question.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in Austin on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Austin Bergstrom Airport. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71°F or below, 72°F to 73°F, 74°F to 75°F, 76°F to 77°F, 78°F to 79°F, or 80°F and above. The market associated with the actual reported minimum temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must rely on the official NWS report, as preliminary or third-party data sources are not authoritative for resolution purposes. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and users should use the latest available report for verification. Rounding and conversion methodologies inherent in NWS reporting may impact borderline cases, so caution is advised when interpreting near-threshold measurements.