TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 15, 2026?

Volume:
$21,723

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,692
N/A
N/A
$4,848
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° or above

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,938
N/A
N/A
$6,341
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,956
N/A
N/A
$2,922
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$981
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$679
N/A
N/A
$657
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
$478
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, helping participants gauge climate expectations for that day. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve positively. While other weather sources may offer similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for resolution. This structure provides a clear, objective framework for evaluating the event’s outcome.