TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific date in the future, helping participants gauge climate expectations for that day. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source.
The event determines the resolution based on the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on August 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve positively. While other weather sources may offer similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole authority for resolution. This structure provides a clear, objective framework for evaluating the event’s outcome.