TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low for that day.
All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 71°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or above 78°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest published data for the date. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be considered authoritative, as NWS reports may undergo rounding or conversion adjustments. All outcomes depend entirely on the single recorded minimum temperature value for that day, with no ties or ambiguous resolutions—exactly one market will resolve to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these mutually exclusive ranges.