TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Austin on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$11,069

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,092
N/A
N/A
$3,202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,584
N/A
N/A
$1,450
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,621
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,361
N/A
N/A
$1,116
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$870
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict the overnight low for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 10, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 71°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, or above 78°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest published data for the date. Preliminary or third-party weather data should not be considered authoritative, as NWS reports may undergo rounding or conversion adjustments. All outcomes depend entirely on the single recorded minimum temperature value for that day, with no ties or ambiguous resolutions—exactly one market will resolve to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these mutually exclusive ranges.