TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Atlanta's lowest temperature on May 29, 2026, will fall within the 70–71° Fahrenheit range. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—a minimum temperature of 70–71°—stands at 49.0%, while temperatures exceeding 71° carry 40.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Atlanta on that date. Watch the National Weather Service's forecast updates as May 29, 2026, approaches to assess shifts in overnight low predictions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Atlanta on May 29, 2026 is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Kalshi's order book matches buyers and sellers in real time, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates market liquidity and conviction around each temperature range for that date.
The Lowest temperature in Atlanta on May 29, 2026 market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official lowest temperature recorded in Atlanta on May 29, 2026, as reported by the designated weather data source. Once the date passes and the final temperature is confirmed, the market settles according to which outcome bracket or threshold the recorded low falls into, and traders' positions are paid out based on the resolution outcome.
Several factors can shift odds for the lowest temperature in Atlanta on May 29, 2026. Major weather pattern changes—such as shifts in jet stream position, development of high-pressure systems, or tropical activity—will move market prices as updated forecasts emerge. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature records for late May in Atlanta also inform trader positioning. As May approaches, each new National Weather Service forecast update, ensemble model run, and real-time weather data release can trigger repricing across all temperature outcome brackets.