TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Atlanta's lowest temperature will exceed 70 degrees Fahrenheit on May 28, 2026. The leading outcome—that the minimum temperature will be above 70°F—currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), which records the official minimum temperature for Atlanta. Watch the National Weather Service's daily temperature readings as May 28, 2026 approaches to see if overnight lows remain warm enough to resolve this market.
Several factors could shift market odds before May 28, 2026. Seasonal climate forecasts and long-range weather models will influence trader expectations as spring progresses. Major atmospheric patterns, such as cold fronts, high-pressure systems, or tropical activity, could alter the probability of cooler or warmer conditions. Historical May temperature data and recent Atlanta weather trends may also prompt repricing. As May approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and typically drive larger price movements. Real-time weather alerts and updated meteorological guidance will be key catalysts for odds adjustments.