TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The minimum temperature in Atlanta on June 7, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service and categorized within a specified range.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations for Atlanta's June 7, 2026 low temperature, often incorporating meteorological data faster than traditional seasonal forecasts. While long-range weather analysts typically issue broad confidence intervals months in advance, prediction markets aggregate live information and adjust continuously. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to National Weather Service extended outlooks or climate models can reveal whether traders are pricing in warmer or cooler conditions relative to historical norms and expert consensus for early June in Atlanta.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in Atlanta on June 7, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting trader belief in specific temperature thresholds. Kalshi's order-matching engine sets prices based on supply and demand for each outcome bucket, with contracts typically denominated in cents per dollar of potential payout. Traders buy or sell positions depending on whether they expect Atlanta's low to fall above or below key temperature levels, with prices converging toward resolution as June 7 approaches and weather forecasts become more precise.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the close of trading and official temperature data collection for June 7, 2026 in Atlanta. Resolution hinges on the actual lowest temperature recorded by the designated weather station or official meteorological source for that calendar day. Once the final low temperature is confirmed and published, the contract settles to reflect which outcome bracket or threshold the actual reading fell into, determining payouts for all open positions.
Major weather pattern shifts, including changes to jet stream positioning, tropical system development, or high-pressure dome formation over the Southeast, can significantly alter Atlanta's expected low for June 7. Updated climate models and seasonal forecasts released in the months leading to June 2026 will influence trader positioning. Real-time meteorological alerts, shifts in El Niño or La Niña conditions, and any unusual atmospheric blocking patterns could trigger repricing on Kalshi as traders reassess the probability of warmer or cooler overnight temperatures in Atlanta.